by admin | May 9, 2025 | Insights
Trade war will intensify the global growth slowdown this year and next as supply chains are disrupted, consumer and business confidence are dragged and inflation jumps at least temporarily. Mild US recession is now more likely. China to US container loads have already...
by admin | Feb 18, 2025 | Insights
Global activity continues a path of slower economic growth with inflation and interest rates settling above average levels for the decade prior to the pandemic. Unusually high levels of geopolitical and political volatility are unlikely to alter this progression....
by Andrew Doherty | Nov 5, 2024 | Insights
Global activity has been surprisingly resilient in the face of higher interest rates, post-pandemic supply disruptions and crises in Ukraine and the Middle East. A more obvious slowing should be evidenced in coming months. Restrictive monetary policy is likely to be...
by Andrew Doherty | Aug 9, 2024 | Insights
Positive returns comfortably ahead of inflation can be expected over the longer term but full valuations in some areas, despite recent selloffs, and likely slowing in economic activity encourage a cautious stance for now. Economic growth this year has been stronger...
by Andrew Doherty | May 20, 2024 | Insights
Activity has surprised on the upside. Growth is fading, but improving consumer sentiment, stable joblessness and reinvigorating housing markets imply mild slowdown rather than deep recession. There is a possibility of a renewed inflation surge later this year...
by Andrew Doherty | Feb 9, 2024 | Insights
Global growth is slowing as the rebound from pandemic disruptions fades. The US economy was surprisingly strong through 2023, helped by fiscal support and consumers bolstered by plentiful work opportunities, high pandemic savings and the positive wealth effect from...